@RP131 - Models used to justify the 21-Jun delay - 28/09/2021
This is an extended version of the daily 'Warwick Delay Models' thread I post to twitter. This includes all the content from
the twitter thread, along with additional material that has been trimmed to avoid bombarding people's timelines.
[1/2] Updated (28-Sep) set of Warwick models used to justify the unlock delay (admissions now has extra line for delay).
Will be interesting to continue to track to assess original accuracy and look for any impact of the delay.
[2/2] Also adding LSHTM versions due to a few requests.
These seem to have less aggressive hospital projections, but then the death numbers are strangely high and don't even match reality at the start of the model (when they would have known this data).
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